Who will win the 2020 European Cup? It is easy to ask this question, but it is much more difficult to get an empirical answer, and there are many layers. But it will be France, the analyst wrote.
Obviously, we can’t be sure who will win it, but we can use deep historical data and, with the help of Stats Perform artificial intelligence, come up with data that supports the most likely outcome. Each result largely depends on the difficulty of the possible path to the championship title that each team will have.
Are you surprised that England is so low? There are reasons for this model, which we will discuss more clearly. First of all, the AI Stats Perform predictive model gives France a 20.5% chance of winning the European Championship this summer. When you play in a 24 team game, one to five is not a bad ratio.
The Blues will strive to become the fourth team to win the World Championships and the European Cup after West Germany (European Cup 1972 and World Cup 1974), Spain (European Cup 2008, World Cup 2010, European Cup 2012) and France World Cup. The champion team in 1998 and the European Cup in 2000).
If France’s Deschamps really raised the Henry Delaunay trophy, he would become the first person to win both the World Championships and the European Championships as a player and coach. He is also the only coach to win that game as a player in the 2020 European Cup.
It should also be noted that France only has a 46.8% chance of winning Group F, which is enough to justify its death group nickname.
In comparison, Spain has a 70.3% chance of winning Group E, the Netherlands has a 65.9% chance of winning in Group C, England has a 64.6% chance of winning in Group D, and Belgium has a 63.5% chance of winning in Group B. .
When it comes to Belgium, Robert Martinez’s team is the second most popular match based on this model. Due to the number of talents in the dressing room and the perfect ratio of 10 wins in 10 qualifying games, it has a 15.7% advantage. This gave them a great opportunity to win the first major event, because no one counted the Olympics anyway.
France and Belgium are the only European teams to reach the quarter-finals in the past three major events, so this time they are unlikely to go home early. They have a 63.9% or higher chance of repeating this success.
Spain ruled the world from 2008 to 2012. The World Cup winner is between two Europeans, but relegation in the top 16 in the past two matches did not help her get a chance at the 2020 European Cup, according to our model 11.3%, although they are the third favorite character. Let us not forget that the 6-0 victory over Germany in November is premature.
The Portuguese champion defender has a very talented team, as well as Cristiano Ronaldo. With the most appearances (21) and tied for the top scorer list with 9 goals, he absolutely believes his country can win the championship for the second time in a row. with us? Not so-we can rank them as the fifth most popular (9.6%), slightly lower than Germany.
It depends on who will pass in their group. Portugal has a 19.4% chance of winning Group F titles before France, Germany and Hungary. His odds of winning second place rose to 27.7%, his chances of third place were 35%, and his chances of fourth place dropped to 17.9%. What follows is that the odds of entering the quarterfinals are 82%, the odds of entering the quarterfinals are 57.7%, the odds of entering the semifinals are 34.6%, and the odds of entering the other finals are 18%.
Germany (9.8%) has three European titles, as does Spain, but participating in the death team is not good for her chances this year.