forum. I was not used to it: On January 18, at the first press conference of this year, Ning Jizhe, director of the National Bureau of Statistics of China (SNB), announced data on China’s economic growth in 2020, but did not mention population data. Ning took the ongoing seventh decennial census as an example, and promised that the results will be announced in early April.
But now, in mid-April, BNS rejected the aforementioned publication. This delay is spreading rumors about the actual number of births and deaths caused by the coronavirus in a year. For a government that has more than necessary human and electronic surveillance methods to control all aspects of its citizens’ lives, it is difficult to justify the difficulty of delivering these data due to technical reasons.
at the same time, Financial Times In its April 28th version, it stated that “China’s population has fallen for the first time in 50 years and has fallen below the 1.4 billion mark”. Scoop in the British Daily News It must have annoyed China’s INSEE, which issued a brief press release the next day: “As far as we know, by 2020, our population will continue to grow.” Le 11 mai, The long-awaited result is finally out: the number of people listed in China in 2020 is 1.411 billion (only more than 1,400 in 2019), which is safe on the surface, but the death toll is still untraceable. In this process, on May 31, the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China decided to give families the right to have a third child…
Since then, China’s population curve has become the subject of numerous comments and predictions at home and abroad. No one will be fooled into thinking that one-party statisticians are masters of digital culinary arts. The number of babies born in 2020 is “About 12 million”BNS stated that this inaccuracy is in stark contrast to the very precise 10.03 million announced by the Ministry of Public Security, which is responsible for civil status, on February 8. How did these two large institutions calculate the difference of 2 million baby heads?
Even with makeup, the census results undeniably confirm the demographic breakdown. The decline in the birth rate from 2019 to 2020 (-18%) is staggering, and the decline in the fertility rate is also staggering: in 2020, there will be 1.3 children per woman, compared with 1.7 in 2019. The population decline in Madison, Wisconsin (United States) began in 2018, and today’s China has a population of only 1.28 billion, which already ranks it behind India.