Thanks to a complex calculation model, an American research team led by scientists from the City University of New York (CUNY) showed that every 1% increase in the Covid vaccination rate can save a lot of hospitalization costs. Direct and indirect economic costs.
For “vaccination map” Coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 “Our Data World” shows a situation that has significant differences on a global scale, ranging from 24.777 billion doses Managed on United States All Syria 2,500 And in Hundreds of Cameroon.For some countries, for example Mozambique E Cape Verde The threshold is even zero because there is no public official data Dosi vaccination. This unequal distribution of drugs is widely spread mainly in rich countries, which greatly exacerbates the complexity of the main goals of drug trafficking. Global vaccination campaign, Or change the pathogen from a pandemic to Local (Spread locally) and stop being born New dangerous variant, Easier to spread and escape Neutralizing antibody.Even the most beneficial vaccination campaigns have even slowed down, for example, in achieving 30% A newly published study suggests that the price of new infections, deaths and social costs can be high among people receiving immunizations.
Determine the impact of vaccination speed and coverage Anti-Covid It is an American research team led by scientists from the Graduate School of Public Health and Health Policy of the City University of New York (CUNY-University of New York). They work closely with colleagues in the Department of Pediatrics and Molecular Virology, Houston Baylor College of Medicine and Johns Hopkins Microbiology and Microbiology at Sri Lanka University. Scientists coordinated by Professor Sarah Bartsch, Director of Research in Public Health Informatics, Computing and Operations Research at New York University, determined through a computational model Vaccination rate To save more lives and reduce new infections, hospitalizations and economic losses. According to the authors of the study, countries must do their utmost to accelerate vaccination campaigns in the next few months before returning to vaccination programs. Cold seasonNotoriously related to increased blood circulation Respiratory virus, For a variety of reasons.
At base Calculation Research conducted by Professor Bartsch and colleagues shows that in the United States, increasing the vaccination rate from 30% to 40% can reduce infectionIt will also save $33.1 billion in direct and indirect medical expenses related to lost productivity. A jump in vaccination coverage from 50% to 70% can avoid 9.5 million infections and a cost of 10.8 billion US dollars.For every percentage point increase in vaccination coverage, even from Avoid hospitalization And Saved lives.Scientists explain that the vaccination rate has increased by 1%, between 40% and 50% Press releaseIn the United States, 1.6 million new cases, 60,190 hospitalizations and 7,100 deaths can be prevented, saving US$674.2 million in direct medical expenses and US$1.5 billion in lost productivity. If vaccination coverage is increased by 1% between 50% and 70%, 473,900 infections, 17,600 hospitalizations, 2,000 deaths and 537 million direct medical expenses and productivity losses can be prevented.
As the experts pointed out, speed The new coverage threshold is reached.If it reaches 50% July instead October The research team predicts that there will be 5.8 million infections and 215,790 hospitalizations in the United States this year, reducing 26,370 deaths and saving $7.8 billion. If the coverage reaches 50% winter The cost is much higher than in the fall. It will cost more than 250,000 hospitalizations, 30,000 deaths and US$12 billion in expenditures. “The results of this study may provide policy makers and other decision makers with an idea of how much they can invest in vaccination among people who may be more difficult to vaccinate,” He has announced Professor Battsch. Study co-author Bruce Y Lee said: “The longer it takes to reach a higher vaccination level and the immune threshold of the herd, the greater the spread of the virus.” He added: “Achieved before late autumn. Higher coverage levels are particularly important to avoid the reappearance of winter peaks. “Details of the study”Life and cost savings by expanding and expediting COVID-19 vaccination“Published in the “Journal of Infectious Diseases”.