Two public opinion surveys showed that Bulgaria’s ruling center-right GERB party increased its leadership of the opposition Socialist Party before the parliamentary election.
According to a poll conducted by Trend Research, Bulgaria will hold parliamentary elections on April 4th, although the central polls show that the ruling center-right party GERB seems to have a great advantage in the majority parliamentary coalition that is not clear after the election.
With the increase in the number of Bulgarian coronavirus cases, it is difficult to predict how many people will respond to the election, so the results may differ from the trend research and alpha research surveys.
Opinion polls show that 28.1% to 28.6% of Bulgarians planning to vote on Sunday will support the GERB party led by triple prime minister Boyko Borisov, while 19.8% to 21.8% of Bulgarians Will support its main rival, the Bulgarian Socialist Party. .
Two public opinion polls conducted from March 26 to 30 show that seven parties are expected to win seats in the parliaments of 240 member states. This means that no major party expects a clear majority coalition.
Taking into account concerns about the coronavirus pandemic, Alpha Research estimates that 2.5 to 2.9 million people will vote, which is lower than the 3.5 million people who voted in the last election in 2017.
Alpha Research reported that the second respondent expressed concern about the coronavirus pandemic, so in the poorest member states of the European Union, the number of voters may drop to 2.1 million.
Alpha Research said in a statement: “If there is widespread fear of infection on election day, the situation may be completely different. Therefore, at the last moment, the virus will determine the course of the disease, not the parties.”
Health Minister Kostadin Angelov (Kostadin Angelov) said on Thursday that the country is at the peak of the third pandemic, with more than 4,200 infections every day and more than 10,000 people in hospitals. The authorities are relaxing some restrictive measures on the grounds that more and more people are vaccinated and who have survived the virus.
Analysts say that lower turnout rates will help traditional parties gain strong basic support, while smaller parties find it more difficult to cross the barriers to entry into parliament. Higher turnout will help protesters win more seats.
The GERB party has promised to increase its average monthly salary by 36% to 1,000 euros, build more highways, and include the country in the euro zone in 2024, but after anti-corruption protests held last summer, the party has been slow Get support.
Socialists who want to play a bigger role in the economy and raise taxes on higher-income people have dropped by 1.8% to 3.7% because their voters are mostly elderly people who are worried about the pandemic.
Opinion polls show that people like Ima, the newly formed anti-elite party led by the popular TV presenter Slavi Trifonov, received approximately 12.7% support. The Turkish MRF is approximately 12.5%.
The anti-corruption coalition Democratic Bulgaria received 5.9% to 6.3% of voters’ support, while the neutral left coalition appeared after “stand up”! The Mafia is out! The vote rate was 4.8% to 6%.
Opinion polls show that the KMT VMRO party is the younger coalition partner in the government, accounting for about 4.3%, close to the threshold for entry into the parliament.